Smoking Securities

Half Baked High Finance

Posts Tagged ‘EEM

Emerging Markets Breakout ($EEM)

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EEM090719While global markets are on the rise, emerging markets as represented by EEM are giving a clean signal to buy. A double top breakout in an uptrend above a rising Bollinger is a good reason to start a position or add more units and raise stops.

A move below 30.21 would warrant caution, but with fortune favoring the bulls, there is no reason to be scared of the odds. Growth abroad will prevent the apocalyptic economic prophecy that was foretold six months ago, one billion Chinese want iPhones, and I suspect the USD will take a beating.

Chinese small caps (HAO), India (EPI) and Chile (ECH) have led the way up, and I don’t see why they should stop now. Bullishness is through the roof, and so long as the price confirms this sentiment, it its wise to take advantage of the frenzy.


Written by chucklesamadeus

July 19, 2009 at 10:18 pm

Market Glance

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The 5 least correlated positive return ETFs show numerous markets cracking critical support and making new lows.

S&P 500 indicators are bearish across the board.

The market remains fahklempt, buyers beware.  The only positive things I see are emerging markets holding above the November lows, and Treasuries failing to make new highs, despite ominous news from every channel on the planet.

I’ve avoided stress by staying in cash, day trading and acquiring a girlfriend.  Cash remains king, and while there are remarkable intraday opportunities, my focus is elsewhere.  To paraphrase Han Solo, “what good is money if you ain’t around to spend it?”

Written by chucklesamadeus

March 4, 2009 at 1:16 am


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No Charts, Just Words

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My premier post of 2009, and it’s a little nerve wracking, sorta like blogging for the first time.

What do you want to know?

My market opinion’s are the same as a few days ago, so that isn’t interesting. For the record, I’m holding IWN, IYR, EEM, DBC and TBT, but that doesn’t really matter. You’re not me, you don’t know my position sizes, my time horizon, hell, you probably don’t know how old I am.

Why are you reading me?

My trading in 2008 didn’t land me a trophy wife, nor bottle service at Lotus. If you want stellar returns, read TheFly, Tim Sykes, or some other player who has been in the game longer. I don’t know how to give you, the anonymous reader, financial advice; everyone has a unique disposition to risk, so I’m not even going to try.

How is anything here useful?

This blog is a record of my process, a personal history. I have the memory of a goldfish, and in order to maintain discipline, I’ve elected to publicly display my victories and foibles. In the past year, I’ve had some great ideas, just check out my first post in January of 2008 here. Of course, I’ve also had some daunting errors that were “rewarding educational experiences” (read: cost me dearly).

For the sake of personal integrity, I promise to be as honest as my ego allows. Admittedly, I sometimes fail to publicly face the evidence of my stupidity. Nevertheless, it is my hope that you can learn from my mistakes, enjoy my triumphs, and come to know your self better through my recounted experience. My journey into the realm of finance has been a source of personal pleasure for years, and I hope to share that joy with you in 2009.

Written by chucklesamadeus

January 2, 2009 at 12:21 am

Posted in DBC, EEM, IWN, IYR, TBT

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